Extracted from Report of Development Prospects Group,
the World Bank
In 1980, China and India accounted for 2 percent of global
output, and the remaining low and middle income countries made up 16 percent of
world GDP. By 2005, the contribution of China and India nearly quadrupled to 7
percent of global production, while the share of other developing countries
declined to 15 percent.
The growing importance of developing economies can thus be
largely explained by the economic expansion of China and India. In the future, the increasing level of China and Indias integration with the global
economy, combined with sustained high growth, is likely to further cement their
position as an important engine of global development.
An outstanding growth performance of relatively poor and
highly populated countries like China and India signifies a reduction in the
number of poor around the world and a decline in global income disparities.
The World Economy in 2030
Developing countries will grow faster due to favorable
demographic and productivity trends. Measured at constant 2001 prices the global economy would reach $75 trillion in 2030 up from $35 trillion in 2005, an
overall increase of some 2.1 times. The developing-country GDP would jump from
$8 trillion to $24.3 trillion increasing its global share of output from 23 %to
33%
Developing countries will account for a larger
portion of world output in the coming decade

The accelerated growth path of many developing countries is
a consequence, of the combination of improved initial conditions, better
policies, demographic trends, and the still wide gap in productivityrelative
to high-income countries.
Over time, China and India played a major role in the
quickening pace of growth in the developing world: the contribution of the two
giants to growth of low and middle income countries has increased from 45
percent in the first period to 50 percent in the second. Over the next 23
years, China and India are likely to account for 18% of growth in global output
and 46% of growth in real output of todays low and middle income countries.