India along with China, Russia and South Korea would
emerge stronger out of the current crisis as they enjoy strong economic foundations
based on foreign exchange reserves, higher growth rates in GDP per capita and
sound monetary policy measures, according to Assocham. Its study titled "India
& G20: Economic fundamentals amid global recession" considered seven
economic indicators relating to size of economy, spending power, tax structure,
interest rate policy, budget balances, debt burden and foreign exchange
reserves.
Ranking on these indicators (based on scores on a scale of
10) suggests India ranks fourth amongst the group of advanced and emerging
economies (G-20) in terms of the seven key economic indicators determining the
scope of policy intervention (both fiscal and monetary) and the impact of the
global economic slowdown.
|
G 20: Standing On Key Economic Indicators
Country
Score Rank |
|
China
|
68
|
1
|
|
Russia
|
68
|
1
|
|
South
Korea
|
61
|
3
|
|
India
|
51
|
4
|
|
Germany
|
50
|
5
|
|
Australia
|
49.5
|
6
|
|
Mexico
|
49.5
|
6
|
|
Saudi
Arabia
|
48.5
|
8
|
|
Turkey
|
48
|
9
|
|
Brazil
|
47.5
|
10
|
|
US
|
46
|
11
|
|
UK
|
45.5
|
12
|
|
Indonesia
|
44
|
13
|
|
Japan
|
44
|
13
|
|
South
Africa
|
41.5
|
15
|
|
Canada
|
39
|
16
|
|
Argentina
|
37.5
|
17
|
|
France
|
37
|
18
|
|
Italy
|
34.5
|
|
|
Assocham
Research Bureau
|
The current crisis, having being originated in US then
spreading to Europe (with UK specially hit) and Japan has led these advanced
countries low in rankings at 11, 12 and 13 respectively.
Looking at the severity of the current crisis, globally
coordinated steps have been taken on both the fiscal as well as the monetary
grounds to insure the unprecedented growth story of the world against the
recessionary forces pulling down the growth substantially. However policymakers
around the world are likely to take further actions to deal with the turmoil.
Although the economic fundamentals have been shaken
drastically across the globe in the past few months, two of the three Asia's
largest economies scores over other group countries on the aforementioned
economic parameters which take them ahead of the other group members to devise
effective action plans to deal with the crisis situation even efficiently. The
study found India ranks fourth among the group of advanced and emerging economies
(G-20) in terms of the seven key economic indicators determining the scope
available for policy intervention (both fiscal and monetary) and the likelihood
of revival from the aftermaths of the global economic depression.
Of the seven key economic indicators, in terms of the
economy size (share of world GDP at PPP exchange rates) India ranks fourth among the group countries; preceded by Japan at third, China at second and the US at the topmost spot. Europe's largest economy, Germany, stands fifth. The size of the
economy presents them a relative advantage over the peer countries to take
robust action against the spreading downturn in the economic activity.
Defining the consumer spending power, the change in GDP per
capita as the second economic indicator reveals the respective strengths of the
G-20 nations to boost their rapidly slackening domestic demand. As a major part
of the announced fiscal stimulus packages globally, a push to lift up the
consumer demand is viewed as one of the priority area for the policymakers as
it makes heavy contribution to their national output. According to the change
in GDP (PPP) per capita for 2009 over 2008, India ranks at third position
behind Russia (second) and China (first).