Due to this crisis each country is suffering by economic
slowdown. This downturn has great impact on the developed, developing and least
developing countries. Because of this downturn demand in the developed
countries dropped heavily that affected the exports of developing and least
developed countries. Moreover the fluctuations in currencies also have great
impact in the economy of the country. Asia's textile and apparel exports
greatly affected by economic slowdown and will fall in 2009 also according to the
Asian development Bank forecast.
According to the Asian Development Bank, Textile and Apparel
Exports will fall in 2009. As prices rose in China and fell in India, results may finally be strongly different in value and volume terms. As a dominant
player, China should bear the brunt of the world textile recession but other
countries are expected also suffering, such as Pakistan.
In constant 2004 prices, total Asian textile and apparel
exports are expected to drop by about US$8 billion with China accounting for a large part at US$3.9 billion. This may be more or less probable
forecast, but such data are however indicating how severe is the current crisis
in Asian exports after EU and US imports began sliding in the last year.
US clothing imports fell 7% in volume terms in January and
this will differently affect apparel exporters depending on where they are
located. Prices of Indian clothing exports sharply fell for instance, while
volume exports were rising as a consequence.
At the start of the current year prices of the Chinese
apparel were on the rise, by contrast, with higher unit prices partly
offsetting the fall in volume exports. Also the elimination of U.S. limits on all textile and clothing imports from China is generating huge consequences, especially
for smaller countries, which are heavily dependent on their clothing exports.
The advantage of low input cost supporting China to export at low cost
comparison to other countries and this elimination of US limits on textile and
apparel import from China is becoming the huge problem for other developing
countries.
Bangladesh in apparel exports is growing at good pace. By contrast, apparel
exporters more resisted the economic recession, especially knitwear producer
benefiting from a duty free access on EU's market. The shift to lower-priced
clothing at European and US retail was another advantage for Bangladeshi
exporters as Chinese prices sharply rose at the end of last year.
Apparel exports should however experience a slowdown in the
current year, due to the global recession and the reduction in prices. Clothing
exports continue accounting for 75% of total Bangladeshi sales to foreign
countries with about 90% being shipped to EU and US. Bangladesh may however
take advantage of relatively strict monetary policy with inflation not
exceeding 7% this year, according to Asian Development Bank forecast. Infrastructure
for apparel exports was also significantly improved in the past years. Emerging
shortages in gas and power supplies are threatening the Bangladeshi apparel
industry, however.
Pakistan is already experiencing power disruptions for large periods of year.
The political situation is another issue but the Asian Development Bank is
especially critical of Pakistan's textile strategy. While other supplying
countries initiated differentiation policies while shifting to higher-priced
products, Pakistani suppliers remained stuck on the low cost segment.
All these factors began negatively affecting textile and
apparel exports. Other countries, which are dependent on textile exports, may
suffer this year.