Doha Development Round (DDR), to my mind, is still the most
useful exercise that has been undertaken in the recent past by World Trade
Organisation (WTO), as a part of Multi-lateral Trading Regime (MTR), and yet it
is lying in a state of animated suspension. India cannot disown the
responsibility of creating such a situation; thanks to our the then ebullient
Commerce Minister, Kamal Nath, whose love for playing up to the gallery could
supersede any thoughtful and responsible attitude at international fora.
It would be recalled that we had, at the last meeting on DDR,
walked out of negotiations, as we could not brook any departure from our
perception of our "national interests". The result is that the
discussions under DDR have come a grinding halt.
Protectionist proclivity
In the meanwhile, the global economy has been overtaken by
economic slowdown, manifesting itself in to an acknowledged recession for major
economies of the world i.e. the EU and the US, apart from Japan. All other countries are feeling the heat. Even the mighty China is feeling the pinch of
economic slowdown. The absence of a functional and operating MTR has driven
many countries to go in for protectionist policies, which can only further
accentuate the problems of garment exporters. Even the next best alternative of
bi-lateral or even multi-lateral trade agreements are hardly a substitute to a
MTR. As the experience shows, India's performance in bi-lateral or
multi-lateral trade agreements has been anything but flattering and we continue
to be one important player in the world trade, which has inked the smallest
number of free trade agreements, both at bi-lateral and multi-lateral levels.
The impasse is broken
Now that a new Minister for Commerce and Industry Anand
Sharma has taken over, there does appear on the horizon a new perspective of
making DDR work. There is palpable sign of thaw on the kind of approach that India had shown so far under Kamal Nath. It is understood that there is a directive from
the Prime Minister to review our stand on DDR and revive it, particularly in
the context of world economic slowdown. Sharma has, therefore, a task cut out
for him of making Doha Round work again. He has given enough indications for
that, the latest reaffirmation has come while he was addressing a press
conference at Washing. Comparing the Doha Round of
WTO trade negotiations to a 25-mile marathon, Sharma said the talks are in its
last lap and hoped that countries would show flexibility in arriving at an
agreement. The need of the hour is a rule-based multilateral trading regime,
which takes on board developmental aspirations of the poor countries and at the
same time ensures better access for all. "That is what we shall be
striving for."
He said Prime Minister Manmohan Singh has made
commitments that the Doha trade talks, the latest round of which was stalled in
July 2008, be concluded successfully. "That is the mandate I have from the
Prime Minister, who feels that IN the present economic crisis, which the world
is facing there should be a positive message for global trade barriers to be
broken down further and global trade to move, which will help economies across
the globe," Sharma said and added, "I am sure that President Obama
wishes the same, and that's the feeling I got from (US Trade Representative)
Ron Kirk. When political leaders discuss issues, they paint the larger canvass
and not be bogged down by smaller details. If you have the larger picture in
mind and you are committed to take it forward, the details can always be
filled," he said.
Shadow of recession
In fact, there was no point on continuing with the stalemate
that we had created. When Kamal Nath was looking after Commerce, there were
growing signs of discomfort at the stand that we had taken while walking out of
ministerial discussions at Geneva. The Geneva talks broke down as both India and the US refused to budge from their respective stands on Special Safeguard Mechanism (SSM).
It would be recalled that while India wanted an import surge up to 110 per cent
above a three-year base period to trigger SSM, the US wanted it to be 150 per
cent. As a via media, Pascal Lamy, WTO Director General proposed a 140 per cent
trigger. This was the major point of difference, which led to breakdown,
setting at naught the advantage of "convergence" on 18 out of 20
issues set by Pascal Lamy at the WTO Inter-ministerial discussions. Almost
everybody agreed that it was a classic case of "so near and yet so far"
and the disappointment was apparent both in developing and developed countries.
Looking back on the turn of events, everybody realized that the favourable and
deserving consideration that this part of Doha Round in July, 2008 should have
got, did not happen because all economies in the world including those of the
developed world had come under stress.