Without disputing that there have been some cases of
protectionism here and there, Pascal Lamy said We have to be vigilant against
turning more aggressive in this area. But to date, the governments have not
applied sorts of heavy-duty protectionism that so crippled the global economy
in the 1920s. They have not, largely, because WTO rules constrain them from
doing so. Instead they used a series of lower-intensity measures which are
within the scope of WTO rules, at least for the most part. We know that if we
are to keep trade open, we have to keep opening trade, and so, that is what we
are trying to do. Intellectually, ministers know this. Economically, it
makes eminent sense, but in many governments, further trade opening at this
time is not easy politically.
Sizing up the present and future scenario, Australian
Trade Minister Simon Crean, said, This meeting is important for two
reasons-it is a reinforcement of Indias re-engagement in the process and it is
a meeting which has the nearest proximity of the G-20 summit. Doha Round of
talks should be close to being concluded with almost 80 per cent of trade
discussions completed last year and only the rest 20 per cent remain elusive.
Significantly, we have seen the emergence of commitment by two significant
players-India and the US.
Harsha Vardhana Singh, Deputy Director General of WTO said that an early agreement on a global
trade deal will only be possible with co-operation of all the countries. A
successful conclusion has a lot to offer in terms of sustainable solutions.
Importance of Doha Round
A successful Doha Round conclusion is of paramount
importance to the world as a whole, particularly when the global economic
downturn is ebbing away. According to study undertaken by Person Institute for
International Economics, a successful Doha Round trade deal could boost the
global economy by $ 300-700 billion a year.
The Prospects
It will be pertinent to quote what Pascal Lamy has said, in
his recent inaugural remarks at Thinking Ahead on International Trade
Conference on Challenges Facing the World Trade System on 17 September 2009,
We cannot discuss change and the challenges the future in isolation from full
recognizance of the present. We cannot simply look ahead and set aside what we
have on our plates today. The viability of the multilateral trading system, the
order and predictability that underwreit4s it, and the economic prospects of
countries around the world, depend on our ability to finish what we started at
in the closing months of 2001-the Doha Round. We have been close, and I believe
we are enclose enough, and sufficiently like-minded, to make closure possible.
But we shall have to do some more hard work, and close the remaining gaps.
The Conclusion
In a game of chess, there are 10 moves for an overture, 15
moves in the middle game and about 60 moves in the end game. To my mind, we are
in the endgame after having dwelt, dealt and discussed and settled many of the
numerous issues involved in Doha Development Round, but are certainly not not
near the end game as assessed by our learned, but newly initiated Commerce
Minister Anand Sharma while being near to Brazils External Affairs Minister
Amortims assessment of being in the end game, which could even take very long
to happen.
The
views presented are author's personal views. Here 'I' refers to him