The recent controversy over the export figures for
apparel for first half of current fiscal is somewhat amusing. According to the
Directorate General of Commercial Intelligence and Statistics (DGCIS), the
apparel exports from India in the April-September 2011 period have grown by 30%
to $6.7 billion, which has, however, been contested by exporters, who have
asked the Government to re-examine data. Exporters are indeed peeved with the
data for exports to the US, the main market, where sales have slowed considerably.
Otherwise, too, even the second biggest export destination i.e. Europe has either been canceling orders or asking Indian exporters to hold on the exports.
Premal Udani, Chairman of Apparel Export Promotion
Council, said, "The DGCIS figure has surprised us as well. We have
requested the Government to review the figure. The picture is not so rosy as
the figure states. For the whole FY 12, exports are expected to be up by
10-20%. The health of apparel industry is not so well. International buyers are
picking up less volumes." A Sakhtivel, President of Tirupur Exporters'
Association added, "In the knitwear category, there has been no growth in
the last few months. Tirupur has been severely affected the Euro Zone crisis.
European buyers have cancelled order. Some of them have even told the exporters
to hold the goods meant for shipment. Though the US off-take is slow, the
situation is better than Europe."
Export Performance
According to the data available, India's readymade
garment exports moved up to $11.16 billion in April-March 20110-11, registering
a growth of 4.23% when compared to April-March 2009-10. It is also observed
that four months of May, June, July and November showed actual decline over
corresponding months in the year 2009-10. The overall annual growth of 4.23% is
anything, but cheerful.
The contested figure of $ 6.757 billion in the
first six months of 2011-12 over the last year's figure of $ 5.099 billion does
make the picture pleasant, even though there has been actually physical fall in
the month of August, 2011. The growth of apparel exports during current fiscal
works out to be 32.52%, but this figure has been disputed. The indignation over
the "disputed" figures is understandable, as the latest information
coming in shows that Tirupur exporters are curtailing their production by
10-15%. Reports suggest that some 1 lakh people in Tirupur have lost jobs in
the last six moths and that the manufacturing units have also approached banks
to restructure their loans and give them a moratorium of one year. According to
A. Sakhtivel, "There has been a substantial reduction in workforce over the
last six months. Almost 1 lakh people have lost jobs and we are not sure what
will happen to the existing workforce, if this recessionary trend continues for
long. The picture is not so bright though exporters are trying to make inroads
in to Latin America, Japan and other newer markets."
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author has shared his views on Euro Crisis and its impact