Table II:
CONSUMPTION OF NONWOVENS IN USA vs. GDP PER CAPITA
(ASSUMING AN INCREASE OF 4.6% IN PER
CAPITA EVERY YEAR)
|
YEAR
|
GDP PER CAPITA
(US$)
|
CONSUMPTI0N OF NONWOVENS (Kg)
|
|
2005
|
42499
|
3.5
|
|
2010
|
52435
|
4.11
|
|
2015
|
65657
|
5.34
|
|
2020
|
82213
|
6.66
|
|
2025
|
102943
|
8.32
|
|
2030
|
128901
|
10.39
|
|
2035
|
161404
|
12.98
|
|
2040
|
202103
|
16.23
|
|
2045
|
253064
|
20.30
|
|
2050
|
331452
|
26.55
|
(Per Capita GDP Source: World Bank)
As you may note from the Tables, the growth rate in per
capita GDP used for the nonwoven consumption is same as that of the growth rate
assumed for the economy. This is fairly an accepted theory in the industry with
regard to the relationship between per capita GDP and nonwoven consumption
growth. Assuming that the industry is fairly developed when the per capita
consumption of nonwovens reaches 3-3.5 kilograms, i.e., the current state of
the US and Western Europe industry, India will reach this level in 2030. Indias nonwoven and technical textile industry is highly currently fragmented and is in
the embryonic stage. The industry is poised to have a double digit growth of
around 13-15% per annum in the next two decades, leading up to a developed
stage in 2030. During this period, developed markets such as US and Western Europe are set to grow at a much slower rate of around 5%. Therefore, it is of much
value for the global industry to take India seriously and take part in the
growth enabling its own development.
