Home / Knowledge / News / Textiles / NY cotton futures edge up marginally this week
NY cotton futures edge up marginally this week
28
Sep '13
NY futures edged up slightly this week, as December gained 75 points to close at 85.47 cents, while March advanced 72 points to close at 85.18 cents.
 
After a string of dull, low volume sessions, the market finally showed some signs of life today following several news stories out of India and China.  
 
In India heavy rain apparently inundated parts of Gujarat and Maharashtra yesterday, although there are differing views among traders regarding the impact on cotton, ranging from problematic to beneficial. Nevertheless, recent rains in the US, China and now India are reminding traders that these generally late crops are still exposed to potentially harmful weather over the coming weeks.
 
At a China Cotton Association (CCA) meeting a number of speakers offered their opinion on China’s supply/demand situation this week, and while estimates varied greatly, the common theme was that planted acreage is lower than estimated and that yields are likely going to disappoint due to a variety of adverse weather conditions during the growing season.
 
The Ministry of Agriculture came up with a crop estimate of just 29.0 million statistical bales, while the CCA was more optimistic at 31.8 million bales. However, both guesses are below the current USDA estimate of 33.0 million bales!
 
Interesting too was that the CCA sees China’s production gap this season at 7.2 million statistical bales (crop of 31.8 versus consumption of 39.0), whereas the USDA projects a shortfall of just 3.0 million bales (crop of 33.0 versus consumption of 36.0).
 
We tend to agree with the CCA, as well as the US Ag attaché in Beijing, and feel that China’s mill use has been underestimated by some 3-4 million bales. As previously explained, inventories outside the Reserve seem to be a lot tighter than the USDA numbers imply and this can only be explained by higher consumption.
 
If our assumption were correct, it would be even more remarkable considering that China has been importing yarn and fabric at a torrid pace in recent months. In August, China imported a record 180’955 tons of cotton yarn, bringing the total for the first eight months of the calendar year to 1.18 million tons, or nearly 50% more than in 2012.
 
Another statistic from China that points to stronger mill use is the 2.94 million tons yarn production number, which includes all fibers. The cumulative figure for the first eight months of 2013 is over 8 percent ahead of last year at 22.6 million tons.
 
Although there is no doubt that cotton continues to lose market share to man-made fibers, one nevertheless has to wonder whether cotton consumption has indeed dropped from 50.0 to just 36.0 million bales since 2006, while yarn output has doubled during that same period.

Must ReadView All

Neelesh Hundekari speaking at the event. Courtesy: Subir Ghosh

Textiles | On 27th May 2017

Fabric of Change initiative announces €250000 scaling fund

The Fabric of Change initiative of Ashoka and the C&A Foundation is...

Pakistan's Finance Minister Mohammad Ishaq Dar presenting Budget 2017-18 in National Assembly in Islamabad on May 26. Courtesy: PID, Pakistan

Textiles | On 27th May 2017

Pakistan Budget 2017-18 proposes 4 new measures

To support the textile sector in Pakistan, finance minister Mohammad...

Textiles | On 27th May 2017

Indian exports can touch $325 bn in 2017-18: FIEO

Indian exports are on upward trend in last few months as the country...

Interviews View All

Nitin Soni
Dolphin Jingwei Machines

Taxation policies need to be made simpler

Mohammad Mamun Ar Rashid
UL VS Bangladesh Ltd

Productivity, creativity and innovation play a vital role in the growth of ...

Kamlesh Vaghela
RK Textiles

Very few machinery manufacturers have R&D units

Mark Paterson
Technical Absorbents Ltd

Mark Paterson, R&D manager of Technical Absorbents Ltd talks about Super...

Ashok Desai
Bombay Textile Research Association

Bombay Textile Research Association (BTRA) is a leading name in textile...

Kevin Nelson
TissueGen

Kevin Nelson, Chief Scientific Officer, TissueGen discusses the growing...

Madhu Jain
Madhu Jain

She grew up in the walled city of Old Delhi, completed her studies, and...

Judy Frater
Somaiya Kala Vidya

Among the many honours showered on Frater, including Fulbright and Ford...

Silvia Venturini Fendi
Fendi s.r.l

"Yes, my confidence and positive attitude are my strengths and should be...

Press Release

Press Release

Letter to Editor

Letter to Editor

RSS Feed

RSS Feed

Submit your press release on


editorial@fibre2fashion.com

Letter To Editor






(Max. 8000 char.)

Search Companies





SEARCH

news category


Related Categories:
May 2017

May 2017

Subscribe today and get the latest update on Textiles, Fashion, Apparel and so on.

SUBSCRIBE


Browse Our Archives

GO


E-News Insight
Subscribe Today and Get the
Latest News Update in Your Mail Box.
Advanced Search