Home / Knowledge / News / Textiles / NY cotton futures edge up marginally this week
NY cotton futures edge up marginally this week
28
Sep '13
NY futures edged up slightly this week, as December gained 75 points to close at 85.47 cents, while March advanced 72 points to close at 85.18 cents.
 
After a string of dull, low volume sessions, the market finally showed some signs of life today following several news stories out of India and China.  
 
In India heavy rain apparently inundated parts of Gujarat and Maharashtra yesterday, although there are differing views among traders regarding the impact on cotton, ranging from problematic to beneficial. Nevertheless, recent rains in the US, China and now India are reminding traders that these generally late crops are still exposed to potentially harmful weather over the coming weeks.
 
At a China Cotton Association (CCA) meeting a number of speakers offered their opinion on China’s supply/demand situation this week, and while estimates varied greatly, the common theme was that planted acreage is lower than estimated and that yields are likely going to disappoint due to a variety of adverse weather conditions during the growing season.
 
The Ministry of Agriculture came up with a crop estimate of just 29.0 million statistical bales, while the CCA was more optimistic at 31.8 million bales. However, both guesses are below the current USDA estimate of 33.0 million bales!
 
Interesting too was that the CCA sees China’s production gap this season at 7.2 million statistical bales (crop of 31.8 versus consumption of 39.0), whereas the USDA projects a shortfall of just 3.0 million bales (crop of 33.0 versus consumption of 36.0).
 
We tend to agree with the CCA, as well as the US Ag attaché in Beijing, and feel that China’s mill use has been underestimated by some 3-4 million bales. As previously explained, inventories outside the Reserve seem to be a lot tighter than the USDA numbers imply and this can only be explained by higher consumption.
 
If our assumption were correct, it would be even more remarkable considering that China has been importing yarn and fabric at a torrid pace in recent months. In August, China imported a record 180’955 tons of cotton yarn, bringing the total for the first eight months of the calendar year to 1.18 million tons, or nearly 50% more than in 2012.
 
Another statistic from China that points to stronger mill use is the 2.94 million tons yarn production number, which includes all fibers. The cumulative figure for the first eight months of 2013 is over 8 percent ahead of last year at 22.6 million tons.
 
Although there is no doubt that cotton continues to lose market share to man-made fibers, one nevertheless has to wonder whether cotton consumption has indeed dropped from 50.0 to just 36.0 million bales since 2006, while yarn output has doubled during that same period.


Must ReadView All

RIL petrochemicals’ revenue grows 47.6% in Q3 FY18

Textiles | On 20th Jan 2018

RIL petrochemicals’ revenue grows 47.6% in Q3 FY18

The revenue from the petrochemicals segment at Reliance Industries...

Surat traders want extension of deadline for e-way bills

Textiles | On 20th Jan 2018

Surat traders want extension of deadline for e-way bills

Textile traders in Surat have sought extension of the online e-way...

Retail market share in India to rise to 10% by 2020: Crisil

Textiles | On 20th Jan 2018

Retail market share in India to rise to 10% by 2020: Crisil

Organised retail’s market share retail in India is projected to rise...

Interviews View All

Headhonchos
Indian textile value chain

Adopt innovative techniques, go for automisation rather than being...

Poojaa Kumar Deepak
Zeven

Zeven's performance sports apparel is designed for the Indian body type,...

Krishnanand Tripathi
Textrade International Ltd

We believe in vocational education for entry-level employees, offering...

Erik Sy

Manila-based CustomThread is a start-up offering premium custom apparel...

Nitesh Mittal

Kusumgar Corporates is a leading manufacturer of technical textiles and...

Tejas N Patel, Navin D Patel

Founded in 1999 by Navin Patel in the name of Tejas Fabrics with 100...

Kai Poehler
Voith Paper GmbH & Co. KG

The glass mat industry is growing by five to eight per cent annually. Kai...

Kerem Durdag
Biovation II LLC

Kerem Durdag, CEO, Biovation II LLC, provides an insight into future...

Mohammad Hassan
Biax Fiberfilm

About one in every 20 patients picks up an infection while hospitalised....

Mike Hoffman
Gildan Activewear SRL

Gildan Activewear, a manufacturer and marketer of branded clothing and...

Karan Arora
Karan Arora

Bridal couture created with rich Indian heritage, exquisite craftsmanship...

Amiben Shroff
Shrujan

From its modest beginning in the late 1960s, Shrujan has grown into a...

Press Release

Press Release

Letter to Editor

Letter to Editor

RSS Feed

RSS Feed

Submit your press release on


editorial@fibre2fashion.com

Letter To Editor






(Max. 8000 char.)

Search Companies





SEARCH

January 2018

Subscribe today and get the latest update on Textiles, Fashion, Apparel and so on.

news category


Related Categories:

Planning to Take the Leap towards
Sustainability?

Do you see sustainability as a route to business growth?

Yes No

Do you think the sustainability space has the needed tools and resources available for a business to lead change?

Yes No

Active Poll

Do you see sustainability as a route to business growth?

Yes
69.1%
No
13.4%
Skip
17.5%

Total Votes: 97

Do you think adopting a sustainable approach will be a profitable move for your business?

Yes No

Active Poll

Do you think the sustainability space has the needed tools and resources available for a business to lead change?

Yes
63.9%
No
28.9%
Skip
7.2%

Total Votes: 97

Do you want the world to know about your sustainability journey and your business’ environmental footprint?

Yes No

Active Poll

Do you think adopting a sustainable approach will be a profitable move for your business?

Yes
87.6%
No
9.3%
Skip
3.1%

Total Votes: 97

Thanks for your valuable feedback. Claim your free latest sustainability e-book.

Active Poll

Do you want the world to know about your sustainability journey and your business’ environmental footprint?

Yes
82.5%
No
8.2%
Skip
9.3%

Total Votes: 97


E-News Insight
Subscribe Today and Get the
Latest News Update in Your Mail Box.
Advanced Search