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Indian official cotton estimate to arrive in mid January
Dec '10
Cotton Advisory Board's (CAB) revised estimate to be available in mid January-2011. The CAB is a government of India constituted body consisting of about 57 members which includes, Ministry of Textiles, Agriculture Ministry, Departments of Agriculture of various cotton growing states, representatives of ginning, trading, spinning sectors, etc. CAB overseas the cotton production estimate and makes the official estimate.

The last meeting of the CAB was in August 2010. It should have met this month, but due to the holiday season, the next meeting will be around mid January 2011. At this next meeting, an official revised estimate for the 2010/11 season will be available. On December 22nd, an official from the Ministry of Textiles, India informed about the possibility of next report about mid January. According to a source, there have been losses due to weather related issues in the States of Andhra Pradesh and Gujarat. So far only rough estimates on the cotton losses are available. Rough estimates indicate that 100,000 bales were damaged in the State of Andhra Pradesh. Gujarat might have lost 200,000 to 300,000 bales. Karnataka state might have lost 57,000 bales. Estimate for the loss in the state of Maharashtra is not available yet.

Mr. Subhash Grover, Chairman and Managing Director of Cotton Corporation of India spoke to this scribe on December 22nd and concurred that the next estimate from CAB will be available during mid January when the board is expected to meet. He also advised that the CAB will provide a revised estimate.

Any decision to allow additional export over the already approved limit of 5.5 million bales will be made only by the Group of Ministers involving Agriculture, Textiles, Commerce and Finance upon the recommendation from the group of secretaries of these ministries. He is of the opinion that government would allow the export of already committed maximum quota of 5.5 million bales. Decision will be expected soon on the export of un-exported quantity once the data is verified, according to Mr. Grover.

Seshadri Ramkumar, Texas Tech University

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