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Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index Analysis: Cotton Fibre Market Trends, Prices & Forecast

TexPro provides pricing information for Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index, covering subproducts such as 28 mm, It offers historical pricing data for up to the last five years. It also provides an accurate price forecast for the next “9/12” months, updated twice a month. The data is collected from our verified primary and secondary data sources.

Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index, 28 mm, Domestic - Brazil (01 May 2024 - 30 Apr 2025)

Overall Trend

  • The prices of Brazilian cotton (28 mm) have shown a slight decreasing trend from May 2024 to April 2025 in South America (Domestic Brazil).

Price Trend

  • The prices of Brazilian cotton (28 mm) have decreased by -1.81% from May 2024 to April 2025 in South America (Domestic Brazil).
  • The average month-on-month percentage change has been -0.14% during the same period.
  • The highest percentage increase of 4.64% was reported in February 2025, and the highest percentage decrease of -3.85% was reported in November 2024 for South America (Domestic Brazil).
  • The average price for South America (Domestic Brazil) in 2024 was 1.57625 USD/kg, which has slightly increased to 1.58 USD/kg in 2025, reflecting a CAGR of 0.24% from 2024 to 2025.

Price Range

  • The average price from May 2024 to April 2025 for South America (Domestic Brazil) was 1.5775 USD/kg, indicating that the prices have fluctuated around this average. The range between average and minimum price is 0.0875 USD/kg and that of between maximum and average price is 0.0825 USD/kg, indicating a relatively stable price range around the mean. The maximum and minimum prices reported for South America (Domestic Brazil) were 1.66 USD/kg and 1.49 USD/kg, respectively, showing a price range of 0.17 USD/kg.

Volatility

  • The standard deviation in South America (Domestic Brazil) prices was 0.0513 USD/kg, indicating low volatility in the market.
  • The prices for South America (Domestic Brazil) traded at a moving average premium of 2.09% and at a moving average discount of -3.62% from the moving average price during the same period.

This analysis highlights the stability in the pricing of Brazilian cotton despite minor fluctuations, suggesting a relatively predictable market environment for stakeholders in the textile industry. The CAGR reflects a modest growth, which may be influenced by market dynamics, including supply chain adjustments and demand shifts in the textile sector.

Trend Report

The average price of Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index has increased by 1.47% in the month of April 2025 as compared to March 2025. The price of Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index has been above its last six months average price by 4.62%. The price of Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index has reduced by a CAGR of -0.18% in last one year. The price of Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index in the month of April 2025 has decreased by -5.49% as compared to the same month last year.

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  • Trial access period will be allowed for 3 days for both modules combined - Textile & Apparel as well as Technical Textiles
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Brazilian Cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index – Product Overview & Market Insight

The Brazilian cotton market, tracked through the CEPEA/ESALQ Index, is a vital component of South America’s textile supply chain. This index, developed by the University of São Paulo and the Center for Advanced Studies on Applied Economics (CEPEA), provides a transparent and reliable benchmark for domestic cotton pricing in Brazil. It reflects real-time market activity and serves as a strategic reference for cotton growers, traders, manufacturers, and textile exporters.

Brazilian cotton is known for its 28 mm staple length, good fiber strength, and consistent quality, making it well-suited for a wide range of textile applications, from everyday garments to home textiles and technical fabrics. Domestic market pricing under the CEPEA/ESALQ Index is influenced by harvest conditions, internal logistics, local consumption, and regional supply-demand dynamics. Unlike export-driven indices such as Bremen, this index offers a closer view of internal cotton trading and production costs within Brazil.

As one of the world’s leading cotton producers, Brazil emphasizes sustainability, innovation, and scale in its cotton farming. Many Brazilian farms meet international certifications such as ABR (Responsible Brazilian Cotton) and BCI (Better Cotton Initiative), ensuring that buyers sourcing through domestic channels align with global sustainability expectations.

TexPro delivers a comprehensive analysis of pricing trends, monthly movements, and year-on-year comparisons for cotton under the CEPEA/ESALQ Index. With insights into volatility, price range fluctuations, and forecasted outlooks, this tool equips textile businesses and procurement managers to make informed sourcing decisions, manage budgets efficiently, and adapt to market shifts.

As Brazilian cotton continues to support domestic textile production and serves as a reliable raw material for regional industries, tracking the CEPEA/ESALQ Index remains essential for anyone involved in Brazil’s cotton value chain.