Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index Analysis: Cotton Fibre Market Trends, Prices & Forecast

TexPro provides pricing information for Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index, covering subproducts such as 28 mm, It offers historical pricing data for up to the last five years. It also provides an accurate price forecast for the next “9/12” months, updated twice a month. The data is collected from our verified primary and secondary data sources.

Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index, 28 mm, Domestic - Brazil (02 Dec 2024 - 28 Nov 2025)

Overall Trend

The prices of Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index (28 mm) have exhibited a downward trajectory from December 2024 to November 2025 in South America(Domestic Brazil), reflecting a period of supply-side pressure and shifting demand dynamics in the regional textile hub.

Price Trend

The prices of Brazilian cotton (28 mm) decreased by 4.7% between December 2024 and November 2025 in South America(Domestic Brazil), suggesting a softening of the market despite broader inflationary pressures in the apparel supply chain.
The average month-on-month percentage change was -0.38% for South America(Domestic Brazil), indicating a gradual price erosion rather than a sharp market collapse.
A peak monthly increase of 4.64% in February 2025 likely coincided with pre-planting uncertainty or seasonal procurement spikes, while the sharpest decline of 5.92% in October 2025 reflects the harvest-period supply influx typical of the Brazilian crop cycle.
The average price for South America(Domestic Brazil) in 2024 was 1.49 USD/kg, which rose by 5.74% to 1.58 USD/kg in 2025, yielding a CAGR of 5.74%; this year-on-year growth suggests that while the 2025 trend was downward, the baseline cost remains elevated compared to the previous year.

Price Range

The average price of 1.57 USD/kg served as a critical pivot point for procurement strategies. The range between the mean and minimum price (0.15 USD/kg) compared to the mean and maximum price (0.13 USD/kg) indicates that prices were slightly more prone to downside deviations, favoring buyers during peak supply windows.
With a maximum price of 1.70 USD/kg and a minimum of 1.42 USD/kg, the total price range of 0.28 USD/kg demonstrates a relatively stable sourcing environment for spinning mills and garment manufacturers compared to more volatile synthetic fibers.

Volatility

A standard deviation of 0.09 USD/kg confirms Low Volatility in the South America(Domestic Brazil) market, providing a predictable cost structure for long-term retail contract negotiations.
The market operated within a disciplined corridor, trading at a moving average premium of 5.07% and a moving average discount of 6.6%, suggesting that strategic inventory stocking during discount phases could significantly optimize raw material margins for textile producers.

Trend Report

The average price of Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index has decreased by -1.03% in the month of November 2025 as compared to October 2025. The price of Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index has been below its last six months average price by -8.46%. The price of Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index has reduced by a CAGR of -0.45% in last one year. The price of Brazilian cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index in the month of November 2025 has decreased by -5.39% as compared to the same month last year.

Note: The data displayed on this page is sample historical information for illustrative purposes only and does not represent current market prices.

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Brazilian Cotton, CEPEA/ESALQ Index – Product Overview & Market Insight

The Brazilian cotton market, tracked through the CEPEA/ESALQ Index, is a vital component of South America’s textile supply chain. This index, developed by the University of São Paulo and the Center for Advanced Studies on Applied Economics (CEPEA), provides a transparent and reliable benchmark for domestic cotton pricing in Brazil. It reflects real-time market activity and serves as a strategic reference for cotton growers, traders, manufacturers, and textile exporters.

Brazilian cotton is known for its 28 mm staple length, good fiber strength, and consistent quality, making it well-suited for a wide range of textile applications, from everyday garments to home textiles and technical fabrics. Domestic market pricing under the CEPEA/ESALQ Index is influenced by harvest conditions, internal logistics, local consumption, and regional supply-demand dynamics. Unlike export-driven indices such as Bremen, this index offers a closer view of internal cotton trading and production costs within Brazil.

As one of the world’s leading cotton producers, Brazil emphasizes sustainability, innovation, and scale in its cotton farming. Many Brazilian farms meet international certifications such as ABR (Responsible Brazilian Cotton) and BCI (Better Cotton Initiative), ensuring that buyers sourcing through domestic channels align with global sustainability expectations.

TexPro delivers a comprehensive analysis of pricing trends, monthly movements, and year-on-year comparisons for cotton under the CEPEA/ESALQ Index. With insights into volatility, price range fluctuations, and forecasted outlooks, this tool equips textile businesses and procurement managers to make informed sourcing decisions, manage budgets efficiently, and adapt to market shifts.

As Brazilian cotton continues to support domestic textile production and serves as a reliable raw material for regional industries, tracking the CEPEA/ESALQ Index remains essential for anyone involved in Brazil’s cotton value chain.