Lyocell Analysis Pakistan: Viscose Value Chain Market Trends, Prices & Forecast

Lyocell, 1.4D, FOB - Pakistan (01 May 2024 - 30 Apr 2025)

Overall Trend

• The prices of Lyocell (1.4D) have been in a decreasing trend from May 2024 to April 2025 in Asia (FOB Pakistan), reflecting a broader market adjustment influenced by fluctuating demand and supply dynamics.

Price Trend

• The prices of Lyocell (1.4D) have decreased by 15.27% from May 2024 to April 2025 in Asia (FOB Pakistan).
• The average month-on-month percentage change has been -1.41% during the same period, indicating a consistent decline in prices.
• The highest percentage increase of 7.58% was reported in July 2024, suggesting a temporary spike possibly due to increased demand or supply constraints, while the highest percentage decrease of -7.27% was noted in September 2024, likely reflecting market corrections or oversupply.
• The average price for Lyocell (1.4D) in 2024 was 2.65 USD/kg, which has decreased by 11.43% to 2.35 USD/kg in 2025, indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -11.43% from 2024 to 2025.

Price Range

• The average price from May 2024 to April 2025 for Asia (FOB Pakistan) was 2.55 USD/kg, indicating that the prices have fluctuated around this average. The range between average and minimum price is 0.24 USD/kg and that of between maximum and average price is 0.34 USD/kg, indicating a higher range above average price.
• The maximum and minimum prices reported for Lyocell (1.4D) in Asia (FOB Pakistan) were 2.89 USD/kg and 2.31 USD/kg, respectively, showing a price range of 0.58 USD/kg.

Volatility

• The standard deviation in Lyocell (1.4D) prices was 0.20 USD/kg, indicating low volatility in the market, suggesting stable pricing behavior amidst the observed trends.
• The prices for Lyocell (1.4D) traded at a moving average premium of 5.36% and at a moving average discount of -8.45% from the moving average price during the same period, reflecting the market's pricing strategies and consumer behavior in response to price fluctuations.

This analysis highlights the ongoing challenges and adjustments within the textile market, particularly for Lyocell products, as it navigates through demand shifts and pricing pressures.