Home / Knowledge / News / Textiles / Slow recovery in emerging markets to stagger global growth
Slow recovery in emerging markets to stagger global growth
07
Jan '16
Weak growth among major emerging markets will weigh on global growth in 2016, but economic activity should still pick up modestly to a 2.9 per cent pace, from 2.4 per cent growth in 2015, as advanced economies gain speed, according to the World Bank's January 2016 Global Economic Prospects.

Simultaneous weakness in most major emerging markets is a concern for achieving the goals of poverty reduction and shared prosperity because those countries have been powerful contributors to global growth for the past decade. Spillovers from major emerging markets will constrain growth in developing countries and pose a threat to hard-won gains in raising people out of poverty, the report warns.

“More than 40 per cent of the world's poor live in the developing countries where growth slowed in 2015,” said World Bank Group President Jim Yong Kim. "Developing countries should focus on building resilience to a weaker economic environment and shielding the most vulnerable. The benefits from reforms to governance and business conditions are potentially large and could help offset the effects of slow growth in larger economies."

Global economic growth was less than expected in 2015, when falling commodity prices, flagging trade and capital flows, and episodes of financial volatility sapped economic activity. Firmer growth ahead will depend on continued momentum in high income countries, the stabilization of commodity prices, and China's gradual transition towards a more consumption and services-based growth model.

Developing economies are forecast to expand by 4.8 per cent in 2016, less than expected earlier but up from a post-crisis low of 4.3 per cent in the year just ended. Growth is projected to slow further in China, while Russia and Brazil are expected to remain in recession in 2016. The South Asia region, led by India, is projected to be a bright spot. The recently negotiated Trans-Pacific Partnership could provide a welcome boost to trade.

“There is greater divergence in performance among emerging economies. Compared to six months ago, risks have increased, particularly those associated with the possibility of a disorderly slowdown in a major emerging economy,” said World Bank Group Vice President and Chief Economist Kaushik Basu. “A combination of fiscal and central bank policies can be helpful in mitigating these risks and supporting growth.”

Although unlikely, a faster-than-expected slowdown in large emerging economies could have global repercussions. Risks to the outlook also include financial stress around the US Federal Reserve tightening cycle and heightened geopolitical tensions.

According to the report's Regional Outlook, South Asia is projected to be a bright spot in the outlook for emerging and developing economies, with growth speeding up to 7.3 per cent in 2016 from 7 per cent in the year just ended. The region is a net importer of oil and will benefit from lower global energy prices. At the same time, because of relatively low global integration, the region is shielded from growth fluctuations in other economies.

For FY 2016-17, India, the dominant economy in the region, is projected to grow at a faster 7.8 per cent and growth in Pakistan (on a factor cost basis) is expected to accelerate to 4.5 per cent. (SH)

Fibre2Fashion News Desk - India


Must ReadView All

Trump signs revised free trade agreement with S Korea

Textiles | On 25th Sep 2018

Trump signs revised free trade agreement with S Korea

President Donald Trump signed a revised free trade agreement with...

L-R: Jonathan Akeroyd, Donatella Versace, John D Idol. Courtesy: Rahi Rezvani

Fashion | On 25th Sep 2018

Michael Kors to acquire Versace; to be renamed Capri

Michael Kors Holdings Limited, a global fashion luxury group, has...

'India can take up lack of capacity in US, China markets'

Textiles | On 25th Sep 2018

'India can take up lack of capacity in US, China markets'

India can now take up the lack of capacity in the US and Chinese...

Interviews View All

Mandeep Nagi, Shades of India

Mandeep Nagi
Shades of India

Women value something that is unique and has a flavour of India

Rahuul Jashnani, Jashn

Rahuul Jashnani
Jashn

‘Online economy has changed the whole dynamics of buying habits.’

Shawn Honeycutt, Bolger & O'Hearn

Shawn Honeycutt
Bolger & O'Hearn

‘The Indian market is interesting and rather persistent in seeking new...

Tom Adeyoola,

Tom Adeyoola

Describing itself as the best body shape and garment fit company in the...

Riddhi Jain,

Riddhi Jain

Conceived in Europe and curated in New Delhi, NeceSera is a...

John Kelley,

John Kelley

Textile Events is one of the largest textile fair in the United Kingdom,...

Lynda Kelly, Suominen Corporation

Lynda Kelly
Suominen Corporation

Suominen Corporation is a manufacturer of nonwovens as roll goods for...

Silke Brand-Kirsch, Schlegel und Partner GmbH

Silke Brand-Kirsch
Schlegel und Partner GmbH

<div>Schlegel und Partner is the market research and consultancy company...

Mr Hartmann Huth, Trevira GmbH

Mr Hartmann Huth
Trevira GmbH

Trevira GmbH is an innovative European manufacturer of high-value branded...

Sidharth Sinha, Sidharth Sinha

Sidharth Sinha
Sidharth Sinha

<b>Sidharth Sinha</b> has contributed to the successful rebirth and...

Yash P. Kotak, Bombay Hemp Company

Yash P. Kotak
Bombay Hemp Company

One of the directors of Bombay Hemp Company, Yash P. Kotak, speaks to...

Wendell Rodricks, Wendell Rodricks

Wendell Rodricks
Wendell Rodricks

"We should not compare India and the West. There are things we do that...

Press Release

Press Release

Letter to Editor

Letter to Editor

RSS Feed

RSS Feed

Submit your press release on


editorial@fibre2fashion.com

Letter To Editor






(Max. 8000 char.)

Search Companies





SEARCH

Leave your Comments


October 2018

Subscribe today and get the latest update on Textiles, Fashion, Apparel and so on.

news category


Related Categories:

Advanced Search