US container ports to see robust cargo volumes through early fall

09 May 24 3 min read

Insights

  • The monthly inbound cargo volume at major US container ports is expected to remain over 2 million TEUs throughout summer and early fall, as per a recent report.
  • Despite economic challenges and shifts in consumer spending from goods to services, the consistent high volume indicates robust consumer shopping and retailer stockpiling ahead of the peak seasons.
Monthly inbound cargo volume at the nation’s major container ports should consistently be above 2 million Twenty-Foot Equivalent Units (TEUs) through this summer and into early fall, according to the Global Port Tracker report by the National Retail Federation (NRF) and Hackett Associates.

“We haven’t seen numbers this high for this many months in almost two years,” NRF vice president for supply chain and customs policy Jonathan Gold said in a press release. “Regardless of what headlines about the economy might say, consumers are shopping and retailers are making sure they have merchandise on hand to meet demand. The supply chain has adjusted to recent disruptions and retailers will work to keep the flow of goods moving smoothly as the back-to-school and holiday seasons approach.”

“Even with a shift in spending from goods to services, US consumers continue to spend on goods,” Hackett Associates founder Ben Hackett said, noting a recent downturn in containerised products like furniture, clothing, and electronics. “We are still seeing a strong volume of goods flowing into ports despite global geopolitical turmoil, high interest rates and a slowdown in economic growth. There has been a surge of container imports on all three coasts, with the strongest being the Gulf, followed by the Pacific and the East Coast. The issue now is whether this surge will continue or level off.”

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US ports covered by Global Port Tracker handled 1.93 million TEU—one 20-foot container or its equivalent—in March, the latest month for which final numbers are available. That was down 1.4 per cent from February but up 18.7 per cent from March 2023, when Asian exports were slow after Lunar New Year shutdowns.

Ports have not yet reported April’s numbers, but Global Port Tracker projected the month at 1.96 million TEU, up 10 per cent year over year. May is forecast at 2.06 million TEU, up 6.8 per cent year over year to tie last October for the highest level since 2.26 million TEU in August 2022. June is forecast at 2.03 million TEU, up 10.7 per cent from the same month last year; July at 2.02 million TEU, up 5.5 per cent; August at 2.1 million TEU, up 7.1 per cent, and September at 2.04 million TEU, up 0.5 per cent.

Monthly volume has reached the 2 million TEU mark only twice since a 19-month streak that ended in October 2022, the release added.

The first half of 2024 is expected to total 11.9 million TEU, up 13 per cent from the same period last year. Imports during 2023 totalled 22.3 million TEU, down 12.8 per cent from 2022.

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (KD)

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