President Obama has been critical regarding the
monetary policy of China. But now, critics are voicing disappointment.
The Obama reign may prove to be a turning point in the US trade policy with China. Earlier Obama had assured to consider the impact of Chinese trade on
the countrys economy and jobs. Experts' opinion says that Obama would like to implement
strict policy measures to tackle the Chinese currency manipulation and unfair
trade practices. The new policy would bring strict implementation of anti
dumping, and unlawful subsidy laws relating to imports from China.
During his presidential campaign, Obama was critical about
the monetary policy of China. He pledged to be tougher on China than President Bush. At the beginning of the year, officials of the Obama
administration remarked that recession was not a time for trade wars. The
report released by his Treasury Department did not mention China as a currency manipulator. Economists believe that China is deliberately keeping its
currency value down so as to trim down its export costs. They observe that,
this will help the Asian giant to maintain its growth in the shrinking global
economy.
But, currently the President has signaled his willingness to
restrict the surge of Chinese exports into the country. His administration has
recently announced to bring its first case against China in WTO (World Trade
Organization) if discussions do not solve the issue. It states that China is
unfairly restricting the exports of its raw materials, which have a desperate
requirement in the U.S. China is defending itself by saying this was only to
protect the environment, and improve the composition of its exports.
Apparel brands manufacture textile and apparels in a quota
free environment. Quota restriction on 34 textile and apparel import categories
of China which was established during 2005 has been removed. In the current
atmosphere, possibilities exist that protectionist barriers might result in
trade wars.
Now, the question that arises at the back of the mind is "Will
Obama take a tough decision on the US trade relations with China?" The answer lies on how the President decides to handle the '421 safeguard' case by this
September. Section 421, Trade Act of 1974 (China Safeguard Investigations)
states that the Commission determines whether imports of a product from China
into the United States in increased quantities or under such conditions are
likely to cause or threaten to cause market disruption to the domestic
producers of like or directly competitive products. If the Commission makes an
affirmative determination, it proposes a remedy. The Commission sends its
report to the President and the U.S. Trade Representative. The President makes
the final remedy decision. (Source: http://www.usitc.gov)
Political critics observe that from the earlier historical
records, Ronald Reagan, George W. Bush, and Bill Clinton have earlier declared
during their election campaigns that they would change the export policy of US
regarding China, but were not able to do much later on. Obama's priorities will
be more focused towards handling the faltering economy, and facing countries
like Iran, and Russia. It might be unfeasible for the President to make a big
change in Chinas export policy.
References:
- http://www.portfolio.com
- http://thehill.com
- http://www.csmonitor.com