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Vietnam's economy to grow 5.5% in 2024, 6% in 2025: World Bank

14 Aug '23
2 min read
Pic: Adobe Stock/NOTE OMG
Pic: Adobe Stock/NOTE OMG

Insights

  • Vietnam's economic growth has decelerated from 8 per cent in 2022 to 3.7 per cent in H1 2023.
  • The World Bank predicts growth rates of 4.7 per cent in 2023, 5.5 per cent in 2024, and 6 per cent in 2025.
  • A proactive fiscal policy, removing investment barriers, and addressing infrastructure constraints are crucial for achieving these targets.
Vietnam’s economic growth slowed from 8 per cent in 2022 to 3.7 per cent in the first half (H1) of 2023, as per the World Bank. It forecasts a moderate growth of 4.7 per cent in 2023, gradually accelerating to 5.5 per cent in 2024 and 6.0 per cent in 2025.

A proactive fiscal policy supporting short-term demand, removing barriers to the implementation of public investment, and addressing infrastructure constraints can help the economy achieve these targets and promote long-term growth, according to the World Bank’s latest economic update entitled ‘Making Public Investment Work for Growth’.

The report suggested policy options to get the economy back on track. Effectively implementing the 2023 investment budget can stimulate aggregate demand and economic growth. On exports, the report recommended diversifying product offerings and export destinations to build medium-term resilience against external shocks. At the same time, fiscal policy can play a stronger role in incentivising green practices and consumption, ultimately contributing to environmental sustainability.

The report’s special chapter studied Vietnam’s public investment management and how it can contribute to the goal of climbing the income ladder. To harness the power of public investment, the report recommends that Vietnam sustain its level of investment, improve the quality of the proposed project, and address deficiencies in public investment management and inter-governmental fiscal institutions.

“Vietnam’s economy is being tested by internal and external factors. To boost economic growth, the government can support aggregate demand through effective public investments, thereby creating jobs, and stimulating economic activity,” said Carolyn Turk, World Bank country director for Vietnam. “Beyond short-term support measures, the government should not lose sight of structural institutional reforms—including in the energy and banking sectors—as they are imperative for long-term growth.”

Fibre2Fashion News Desk (NB)

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