Home / Knowledge / News / Fashion / Denim sector could face fall in credit profile: Report
Denim sector could face fall in credit profile: Report
19
May '17
The denim industry, representing below 10 per cent of the textile market, is likely to face deterioration in credit profile in the absence of improvements in realisations in FY18, says a recent report. Its operating margins could fall to 10-11 per cent in FY18 due to cost inflation amid surplus capacity in denim standard products with low cotton content.

India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has estimated prices to moderate in 2HFY18, highlighted in the report ‘Stable Input Prices, Fiscal Incentives to Support Textile and Cotton in FY18’. However, the denim surplus situation and inventory losses are likely to pressurise margins.

Moreover, the man-made industry demands a level playing field for the taxation of cotton, which is exempt from indirect taxation. If cotton is brought under the Goods and Services Tax (GST) then cotton fabrics including denim sector’s profitability may come under pressure in the transitory period.

The agencies denim peer set average EBITDA margins deteriorated in 9MFY17 to 12.6 per cent from FY16’s 13.2 per cent. The fall in margins is on account of players’ inability to completely pass on the increase in cotton prices, on the back of high competitive pressure, similar to the situation in FY14.

Raw cotton prices have increased by 32.8 per cent YoY in March 2017 and Ind-Ra expects it to remain elevated until 1HFY18. For Denim manufacturers’ cotton forms more than 35-40 per cent of the total raw material requirement. The agency notes that for many of the basic denim fabric manufacturers catering to domestic consumption average realisations remained steady, despite higher cotton prices in 9MFY17.

However, some of them have been able to increase realisations for 4QFY17 partly passing the cost inflation with a lag. Denim garments players are likely to perform better than fabric players, as the retail margins may sustain as fabric prices remain under pressure.

Ind-Ra expects the denim sector to post robust volume growth of over 10-15 per cent in line with the past trend along with rising disposable incomes, rapid growth of the retail sector, westernisation trend, young population demographics, and versatility of denim as a fabric. However, Ind-Ra views that the capacity addition is growing at a faster rate. Moreover, the existing capacities will face competition from new-age cost efficient plants.

The denim fabric industry is cyclical in nature and is characterised by periods of excess capacity followed by narrowing the demand-supply gap. The apparent short project pay-back has encouraged a number of denim fabric manufacturers to put up additional capacity, higher than the estimated demand growth. Further capacity additions are likely to keep the domestic competitive pressures heightened. As per CMIE data, a moderate level of new capacity ramp-up is underway in FY18. This includes capital expenditure for expansion and backward integration by a few companies namely, Nandan Denim Limited, Raymond Uco Denim Pvt Limited and RSWM Limited.

Overall, the credit profile for most players has come under pressure also due to the stretched working capital cycle and debt-led capacity expansion in the backdrop of operating margin pressure. Aggregate peer set net leverage (Net Debt/EBITDA) increased to 4.59x in 1HFY17 compared to 2.83x in FY16. The working capital cycle has got stretched to 61 days in 1HFY17compared to 54 days in FY16, on account of the high credit period and inventory holding for the new capacity ramp-up. Increased competition in the international arena and higher receivable days will impact the exports profitability.

However, Ind-Ra believes the credit profile of value-add export-oriented manufacturers will remain robust. Industry players with diversified revenue lines with a mix of man-made textile products are better placed than the pure denim players. Also, companies with strong liquidity, low leverage and short working capital cycle are better placed to face the challenging times. (KD)

Fibre2Fashion News Desk – India


Must ReadView All

Courtesy: Pexels

Fashion | On 23rd Jun 2018

Nigerian bank launches N1 bn fund for fashion entrepreneur

Nigeria’s Bank of Industry has set aside 1 billion Naira (N) to...

Courtesy: Tayal

Textiles | On 23rd Jun 2018

Tayal textile factory in Algeria starts exports to Turkey

Algeria’s largest textile factory, the joint Algerian-Turkish company ...

Courtesy: Manhattan Beachwear

Fashion | On 23rd Jun 2018

Manhattan Beachwear in global partnership with BCBG Group

Manhattan Beachwear, the largest swimwear manufacturer in the US, has ...

Interviews View All

Top executives
Textile industry

GST has levelled the playing field to an extent

Arvind Saraf
Triveni Sarees

e-Commerce is still evolving fast with constant flux and surprises

Smarth Bansal
Colorjet India Limited

We would like to venture more companies into the Indian market

Tom Adeyoola

Describing itself as the best body shape and garment fit company in the...

Erik Sy

Manila-based CustomThread is a start-up offering premium custom apparel...

Vikas Banduke

Softech Controls Private Limited (SCPL) is a part of the Cotmac Group, an...

Eric Scholler
Groz-Beckert

The Indian market has huge potential in technical textiles, and by far,...

Lynda Kelly
Suominen Corporation

Suominen Corporation is a manufacturer of nonwovens as roll goods for...

Iago Castro Asensio
RCfil Distribuciones S.L.

Iago Castro Asensio, International Business Manager of RCfil...

Wendell Rodricks
Wendell Rodricks

"We should not compare India and the West. There are things we do that...

Cigdem Akin
Cigdem Akin

She has carved a niche for herself as the national brand of Turkey. Her...

Anisha Chaudhari
Threads & Shirts

Threads & Shirts is a freshly-tailored concept providing men/women a...

Press Release

Press Release

Letter to Editor

Letter to Editor

RSS Feed

RSS Feed

Submit your press release on


editorial@fibre2fashion.com

Letter To Editor






(Max. 8000 char.)

Search Companies





SEARCH

Leave your Comments


June 2018

Subscribe today and get the latest update on Textiles, Fashion, Apparel and so on.

news category


Related Categories:

Advanced Search