Home / Knowledge / News / Textiles / Slow recovery in emerging markets to stagger global growth
Slow recovery in emerging markets to stagger global growth
07
Jan '16
Weak growth among major emerging markets will weigh on global growth in 2016, but economic activity should still pick up modestly to a 2.9 per cent pace, from 2.4 per cent growth in 2015, as advanced economies gain speed, according to the World Bank's January 2016 Global Economic Prospects.

Simultaneous weakness in most major emerging markets is a concern for achieving the goals of poverty reduction and shared prosperity because those countries have been powerful contributors to global growth for the past decade. Spillovers from major emerging markets will constrain growth in developing countries and pose a threat to hard-won gains in raising people out of poverty, the report warns.

“More than 40 per cent of the world's poor live in the developing countries where growth slowed in 2015,” said World Bank Group President Jim Yong Kim. "Developing countries should focus on building resilience to a weaker economic environment and shielding the most vulnerable. The benefits from reforms to governance and business conditions are potentially large and could help offset the effects of slow growth in larger economies."

Global economic growth was less than expected in 2015, when falling commodity prices, flagging trade and capital flows, and episodes of financial volatility sapped economic activity. Firmer growth ahead will depend on continued momentum in high income countries, the stabilization of commodity prices, and China's gradual transition towards a more consumption and services-based growth model.

Developing economies are forecast to expand by 4.8 per cent in 2016, less than expected earlier but up from a post-crisis low of 4.3 per cent in the year just ended. Growth is projected to slow further in China, while Russia and Brazil are expected to remain in recession in 2016. The South Asia region, led by India, is projected to be a bright spot. The recently negotiated Trans-Pacific Partnership could provide a welcome boost to trade.

“There is greater divergence in performance among emerging economies. Compared to six months ago, risks have increased, particularly those associated with the possibility of a disorderly slowdown in a major emerging economy,” said World Bank Group Vice President and Chief Economist Kaushik Basu. “A combination of fiscal and central bank policies can be helpful in mitigating these risks and supporting growth.”

Although unlikely, a faster-than-expected slowdown in large emerging economies could have global repercussions. Risks to the outlook also include financial stress around the US Federal Reserve tightening cycle and heightened geopolitical tensions.

According to the report's Regional Outlook, South Asia is projected to be a bright spot in the outlook for emerging and developing economies, with growth speeding up to 7.3 per cent in 2016 from 7 per cent in the year just ended. The region is a net importer of oil and will benefit from lower global energy prices. At the same time, because of relatively low global integration, the region is shielded from growth fluctuations in other economies.

For FY 2016-17, India, the dominant economy in the region, is projected to grow at a faster 7.8 per cent and growth in Pakistan (on a factor cost basis) is expected to accelerate to 4.5 per cent. (SH)

Fibre2Fashion News Desk - India


Must ReadView All

Courtesy: Fancycrave.com from Pexels

Apparel/Garments | On 22nd Jun 2018

EU's retaliatory duty on US apparel takes effect

As part of the three-pronged response outlined by the European...

NCC applauds House passage of farm legislation

Textiles | On 22nd Jun 2018

NCC applauds House passage of farm legislation

The National Cotton Council (NCC) of the US has welcomed the passage...

Courtesy: Roman Pohorecki from Pexels

Apparel/Garments | On 22nd Jun 2018

UK launches inquiry on sustainability of fashion industry

The Environmental Audit Committee of the UK Parliament has launched...

Interviews View All

Manuj Terapanthi
Texaura

Transparent supply chain and fair trade will boost sustainable market

Claudia Kersten
Global Organic Textile Standard

‘GOTS is a very efficient supply chain management tool, especially for...

Ajay Ghariwala
Luthra Group

We are ready to adopt or follow every opportunity

Urmil Arya

Sushila International, a well established textile organisation established ...

Sugandha Bhardwaj

<div>New Delhi-based Brinjal Designs Pvt Ltd manufactures home furnishing...

Erik Sy

Manila-based CustomThread is a start-up offering premium custom apparel...

Mohammad Hassan
Biax Fiberfilm

About one in every 20 patients picks up an infection while hospitalised....

Johan Berlin
InvestKonsult Sweden AB

Investkonsult Sweden AB has been buying and selling second-hand textile...

Ashok Desai
Bombay Textile Research Association

Bombay Textile Research Association (BTRA) is a leading name in textile...

Nisha Chanda
Whistling Woods International School of Fashion

<div>A lack of upgraded courses in costume designing and fashion as per...

Priya Somaiya
Usha Social Services

The Usha Silai label from Usha International is all set for a retail...

Akta Adani
India Boulevard

India Boulevard is a San Francisco-based curated fashion marketplace that...

Press Release

Press Release

Letter to Editor

Letter to Editor

RSS Feed

RSS Feed

Submit your press release on


editorial@fibre2fashion.com

Letter To Editor






(Max. 8000 char.)

Search Companies





SEARCH

Leave your Comments


June 2018

Subscribe today and get the latest update on Textiles, Fashion, Apparel and so on.

news category


Related Categories:

Advanced Search